Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 7.113712e-05 0.000086 0.000101 0.000119 0.000139 0.000161 0.000185
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.459491e-05 0.000074 0.000096 0.000124 0.000155 0.000191 0.000233
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.394785e-05 0.000065 0.000090 0.000122 0.000161 0.000206 0.000261
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.385623e-05 0.000055 0.000083 0.000119 0.000165 0.000218 0.000285
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.771539e-05 0.000049 0.000078 0.000118 0.000169 0.000230 0.000308
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.259944e-05 0.000044 0.000075 0.000118 0.000174 0.000244 0.000333
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.937310e-05 0.000041 0.000073 0.000119 0.000181 0.000259 0.000360
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.572896e-05 0.000037 0.000069 0.000118 0.000185 0.000270 0.000382
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.226644e-05 0.000032 0.000064 0.000114 0.000184 0.000275 0.000396
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.077467e-05 0.000031 0.000064 0.000117 0.000193 0.000292 0.000426
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.094831e-06 0.000026 0.000059 0.000113 0.000191 0.000295 0.000436
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.729605e-06 0.000024 0.000058 0.000113 0.000196 0.000307 0.000460
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.828328e-06 0.000021 0.000053 0.000110 0.000196 0.000313 0.000476
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.040083e-06 0.000020 0.000053 0.000113 0.000206 0.000333 0.000511
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.044136e-06 0.000018 0.000051 0.000113 0.000210 0.000344 0.000535
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.998974e-06 0.000015 0.000047 0.000109 0.000209 0.000349 0.000549
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.403533e-06 0.000014 0.000045 0.000108 0.000212 0.000359 0.000572
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.463896e-07 0.000012 0.000043 0.000108 0.000215 0.000370 0.000594
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.971462e-07 0.000011 0.000043 0.000109 0.000222 0.000385 0.000623
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.141788e-07 0.000010 0.000041 0.000108 0.000224 0.000394 0.000643
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.895669e-07 0.000008 0.000038 0.000105 0.000222 0.000397 0.000656
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.295863e-07 0.000008 0.000038 0.000108 0.000231 0.000415 0.000690
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.332428e-08 0.000006 0.000035 0.000103 0.000228 0.000416 0.000699